Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Jul 2026

📅28/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.7 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emelec
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Emelec Emelec 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.12.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 5-1 HT 2-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
12.08.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
05.08.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2-1
AWAY Emelec
0.95 xG 0.46
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
324 Passes 238
20 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Deportivo Cuenca edged past Emelec 2-1 in the Ecuador - Premier on 28 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.95 to 0.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.83 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 39%, draw 30%, Emelec 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5
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