Al Sadd 2-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.67
2-3 Goals
34%
2.26
4-5 Goals
28%
2.26
6+ Goals
18%
3.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
2.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.04
+10% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
14.1 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Gharafa
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KUVEK
27.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
06.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
28.09.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
15.02.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
2-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.04 xG 0.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd beat Al Gharafa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Sadd had 44% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.04 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Sadd and 1.17 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa?

Al Sadd 2-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 61%, draw 20%, Al Gharafa 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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