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Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Baglan Dragons v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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The data tilts towards Caerau (Ely) despite the venue, which says a lot about how the model rates the two squads.
One side has usually been blanked in Baglan Dragons's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5, and Caerau (Ely)'s recent away league games have been goal-heavy — 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baglan Dragons and 2.17 for Caerau (Ely).
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Kick-off Time
Baglan Dragons play Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/08/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) is an Caerau (Ely) win at about 62% probability, priced 1.62 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Baglan Dragons 17%, draw 21%, Caerau (Ely) 62%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.