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Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baglan Dragons v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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3-0
HT 0-0
Baglan Dragons
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) ran out comfortable winners over Baglan Dragons 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.60 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Baglan Dragons 0-5 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 23%, draw 30%, Caerau (Ely) 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.