Holywell 3-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.3pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.91/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.77
+9% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2025 Caersws Caersws 1-3 HT 1-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
18.01.2025 Caersws Caersws 2-0 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
26.08.2024 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 2-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
20.07.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALLK
03.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.09.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell got the better of Caersws 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holywell and 1.00 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Caersws?

Holywell 3-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Holywell 70%, draw 21%, Caersws 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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