Ynyshir Albions 4-0 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Mar 2026

Ynyshir Albions
4-0 HT 2-0
Newport City
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ynyshir Albions v Newport City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 61%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.97/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.70
-26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +76%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ynyshir Albions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Newport City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
22.08.2025 Newport City Newport City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ynyshir Albions GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ynyshir Albions swept aside Newport City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Newport City carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City?

Ynyshir Albions 4-0 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ynyshir Albions 25%, draw 21%, Newport City 55%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Newport City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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