Cardiff Draconians 2-3 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.79
+25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff Draconians
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.08.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff Draconians GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town nicked a narrow win over Cardiff Draconians 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?

Cardiff Draconians 2-3 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 33%, draw 25%, Carmarthen Town 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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