Treowen Stars 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.76/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.59
-48% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treowen Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.11.2025 Treowen Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALWK
03.10.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 5-2 HT 2-1 Treowen Stars GALFAW
POST-MATCH Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treowen Stars and Pontypridd Town AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Treowen Stars and 3.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Treowen Stars 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 24%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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