Penrhyncoch 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
51%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.11/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.89
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2025 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
04.03.2023 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
28.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-1 HT 2-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
12.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-1 HT 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
02.10.2021 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch nicked a narrow win over Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Penrhyncoch as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penrhyncoch and 1.00 for Holyhead Hotspur FC.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Penrhyncoch 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 56%, draw 19%, Holyhead Hotspur FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penrhyncoch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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