Caersws 1-3 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
20%
-3.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
65%
Away Win
59%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 62%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
2.62/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.07
+92% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
18.01.2025 Caersws Caersws 2-0 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
26.08.2024 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 2-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
20.07.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALLK
03.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.09.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-1 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
06.08.2022 Caersws Caersws 1-6 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell beat Caersws 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caersws and 2.50 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Holywell?

Caersws 1-3 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Caersws 16%, draw 19%, Holywell 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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