Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Guangxi Baoyun
1-1 HT 0-0
Suzhou Dongwu
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Guangxi Baoyun vs Suzhou Dongwu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guangxi Baoyun v Suzhou Dongwu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
0.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.12
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 79%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
10.4 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Guangxi Baoyun vs Suzhou Dongwu Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.15 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
298 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 2-2 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
28.10.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-3 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
16.07.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.07.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
22.06.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun and Suzhou Dongwu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.20 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 38%, draw 29%, Suzhou Dongwu 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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