Woking 1-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 36% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.85
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.73
X/2
12%
5.51
X/X
7%
4.45
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.64
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.73 — our 19% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.6pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sutton United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2023 Woking Woking 2-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United HAZ
11.05.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 1-1 Woking Woking İBSL
06.02.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Woking Woking FAK
01.12.2020 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
01.01.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 6-2 HT 5-0 Woking Woking İBSL
26.12.2019 Woking Woking 0-2 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-2
AWAY Sutton United
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Woking vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Woking 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Sutton United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Woking had 55% of the ball to Sutton United's 45%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Woking and 2.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Woking vs Sutton United?

Woking 1-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Woking win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Woking 37%, draw 27%, Sutton United 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Woking) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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