Shrewsbury 1-1 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Shrewsbury
1-1 HT 1-0
Rotherham United
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.64
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
9%
7.49
X/2
12%
4.54
X/X
18%
4.27
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.77
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.92/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.10
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.2 Crosses 24.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Shrewsbury vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rotherham United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.64 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
178 Passes 241
57% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-3 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
01.03.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
26.12.2019 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
21.09.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
13.08.2019 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-4 HT 0-3 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNLK
27.05.2018 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1

Shrewsbury 1-1 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-1
AWAY Rotherham United
0.72 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
241 Passes 254
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
8 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury and Rotherham United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rotherham United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 47% of the ball to Rotherham United's 53%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.33 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Rotherham United?

Shrewsbury 1-1 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 27%, draw 32%, Rotherham United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rotherham United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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