Kongahalla 2-1 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
35%
4-5
24%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.61/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.95
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongahalla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BK Forward
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2024 BK Forward BK Forward 1-3 HT 1-2 Kongahalla Kongahalla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kongahalla vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongahalla squeezed past BK Forward 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kongahalla as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Kongahalla vs BK Forward?

Kongahalla 2-1 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongahalla vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kongahalla 48%, draw 23%, BK Forward 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongahalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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