Cadiz II 0-4 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.16/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.35
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Estepona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Cadiz II Cadiz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
01.10.2023 Estepona Estepona 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz II
0-4
AWAY Estepona
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cadiz II vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona cruised past Cadiz II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Estepona found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Cadiz II had 47% of the ball to Estepona's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cadiz II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cadiz II and 0.50 for Estepona.

What was the final score of Cadiz II vs Estepona?

Cadiz II 0-4 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz II vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cadiz II 32%, draw 30%, Estepona 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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