Guijuelo 1-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.19/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
16.12.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
29.04.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
17.12.2022 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 2-2 HT 1-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-0
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo squeezed past Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guijuelo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guijuelo had 43% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 57%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guijuelo and 1.33 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Guijuelo 1-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 47%, draw 24%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guijuelo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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