Coruxo 2-3 Salamanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salamanca EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.12
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Salamanca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.03.2022 Salamanca Salamanca 0-3 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
23.10.2021 Coruxo Coruxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
24.01.2021 Coruxo Coruxo 1-0 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
2-3
AWAY Salamanca
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Salamanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca edged past Coruxo 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Salamanca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coruxo had 43% of the ball to Salamanca's 57%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coruxo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coruxo and 0.00 for Salamanca.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Salamanca?

Coruxo 2-3 Salamanca in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Salamanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 37%, draw 31%, Salamanca 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coruxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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