Escobedo 1-4 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Escobedo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.91
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Escobedo
1-4
AWAY Real Valladolid II
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Escobedo vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II cruised past Escobedo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Real Valladolid II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Escobedo had 47% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Escobedo vs Real Valladolid II?

Escobedo 1-4 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Escobedo vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Escobedo 35%, draw 29%, Real Valladolid II 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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