Illescas 2-1 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.88
+29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
2-1
AWAY CD Coria
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Illescas vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas squeezed past CD Coria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Illescas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 53% of the ball to CD Coria's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Illescas vs CD Coria?

Illescas 2-1 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Illescas 45%, draw 25%, CD Coria 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illescas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illescas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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