Ansbach 09 0-2 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 57%
+16% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -39%
1.57/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.04
+24% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Schweinfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.10.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-0 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-2 HT 1-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt got the better of Ansbach 09 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Schweinfurt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.00 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Schweinfurt?

Ansbach 09 0-2 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 35%, draw 22%, Schweinfurt 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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