Bahlinger SC 0-1 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.22/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.56
-12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lehnerz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 4-2 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 4-1 HT 2-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz squeezed past Bahlinger SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lehnerz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bahlinger SC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahlinger SC and 2.00 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Lehnerz?

Bahlinger SC 0-1 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahlinger SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 39%, draw 26%, Lehnerz 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahlinger SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahlinger SC) ✓ Under 2.5
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