FC Bocholt 2-4 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.61/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.04
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 1-0 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 3-4 HT 2-2 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 3-3 HT 2-2 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II got the better of FC Bocholt 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bocholt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Bocholt and 2.33 for Mönchengladbach II.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs Mönchengladbach II?

FC Bocholt 2-4 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 45%, draw 24%, Mönchengladbach II 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Bocholt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
28 Sep 2024
00:00 Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Analysis →
14:00 BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
14:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Viktoria Berlin Analysis →
15:00 SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers Analysis →
15:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Villingen Analysis →
15:00 Steinbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Analysis →