Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7-0 Türkspor Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.59
Over Pick
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkspor Dortmund EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.22/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Türkspor Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II swept aside Türkspor Dortmund 7-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Türkspor Dortmund?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7-0 Türkspor Dortmund in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Türkspor Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 60%, draw 19%, Türkspor Dortmund 22%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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