Schalke 04 II 1-2 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-12.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 II vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg edged past Schalke 04 II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 II vs MSV Duisburg?

Schalke 04 II 1-2 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 II vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 II 26%, draw 30%, MSV Duisburg 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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