28/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-1
Uerdingen vs Eintracht Hohkeppel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
27%
Draw
25%
32%
Away Win
38%
51%
Under 2.5
43%
49%
Over 2.5
57%
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
51%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uerdingen v Eintracht Hohkeppel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Uerdingen
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eintracht Hohkeppel
EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-40%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
257 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
376 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Uerdingen vs Eintracht Hohkeppel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Uerdingen edged past Eintracht Hohkeppel 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uerdingen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Uerdingen vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?
Uerdingen 2-1 Eintracht Hohkeppel in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uerdingen vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uerdingen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uerdingen 41%, draw 27%, Eintracht Hohkeppel 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uerdingen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Uerdingen)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
28 Sep 2024