Vilzing 0-3 Augsburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.40/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.08
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Augsburg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 0-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 3-2 HT 3-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
16.07.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 2-3 HT 1-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Augsburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II ran out comfortable winners over Vilzing 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Augsburg II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vilzing and 1.25 for Augsburg II.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Augsburg II?

Vilzing 0-3 Augsburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Augsburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 36%, draw 28%, Augsburg II 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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