Werder Bremen II 5-0 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
3.94
Over Pick
56%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.28
No
48%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
22%
+22.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
78%
-22.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
74%
-22.1pp
48%
BTTS No
26%
+22.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
2.02/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.52
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-0 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-5 HT 0-3 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.09.2019 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
05.09.2014 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-4 HT 0-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II swept aside Hamburg II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Werder Bremen II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Werder Bremen II and 2.50 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Hamburg II?

Werder Bremen II 5-0 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 45%, draw 23%, Hamburg II 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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