Ceara vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Brusque — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Brusque Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Brusque
BRK
0-2
HT 0-1
Ceara
BRK
0-1
HT 0-0
Ceara
BRK
Ceara 1-0 Brusque — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara nicked a narrow win over Brusque 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Ceara had 54% of the ball to Brusque's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceara and 0.50 for Brusque.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Brusque?
Ceara 1-0 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Brusque?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ceara 50%, draw 28%, Brusque 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.