Coritiba 0-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.51
Over
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.27
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
20%
5.4
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.40/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.4 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Goias
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2024 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
06.11.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
04.07.2023 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-2 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
30.07.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.04.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 3-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
0-0
AWAY Goias
1.27 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 9
348 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba and Goias fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coritiba had 55% of the ball to Goias's 45%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.27 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coritiba and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Goias?

Coritiba 0-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 42%, draw 30%, Goias 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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