Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Vila Nova
BR2
0-2
HT 0-2
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Vila Nova 1-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Botafogo SP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Vila Nova had 51% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 49%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.17 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vila Nova and 0.80 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Vila Nova 1-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 46%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No went the other way.