28/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
3-0
Boreham Wood vs Larkhall Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Boreham Wood win — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
17%
Draw
11%
16%
Away Win
7%
39%
Under 2.5
31%
61%
Over 2.5
69%
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
50%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boreham Wood v Larkhall Athletic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Boreham Wood
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Larkhall Athletic
EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/3.00
-25%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-16%
64%
Ball Possession
36%
18
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
516 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Boreham Wood vs Larkhall Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Boreham Wood nicked a narrow win over Larkhall Athletic 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Larkhall Athletic?
Boreham Wood 2-1 Larkhall Athletic in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Larkhall Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 67%, draw 17%, Larkhall Athletic 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood)
✓ Over 2.5
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28 Sep 2024