Brackley Town 4-1 Ramsgate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.33
Over
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.7
No
37%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
55%
+8.6pp
37%
BTTS No
45%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ramsgate EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
2.39/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Ramsgate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town cruised past Ramsgate 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Ramsgate?

Brackley Town 4-1 Ramsgate in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Ramsgate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 56%, draw 25%, Ramsgate 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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