28/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Chatham Town vs Slough Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
29%
Draw
23%
40%
Away Win
53%
43%
Under 2.5
41%
57%
Over 2.5
59%
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
42%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chatham Town v Slough Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chatham Town
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Slough Town
EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+22%
/
-32%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
264 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chatham Town vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Slough Town ran out comfortable winners over Chatham Town 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Slough Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Chatham Town vs Slough Town?
Chatham Town 0-3 Slough Town in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chatham Town vs Slough Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chatham Town 31%, draw 29%, Slough Town 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slough Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Slough Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FAK
More England - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024