Darlington 1883 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.78
Over Pick
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.50
+16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity nicked a narrow win over Darlington 1883 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Darlington 1883 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Darlington 1883 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 47%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Darlington 1883) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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