Radcliffe Borough 2-3 Bury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Radcliffe Borough win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.79
+61% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
25.07.2015 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Bury Bury HAZ
09.07.2014 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-4 HT 0-1 Bury Bury HAZ
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Bury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury edged past Radcliffe Borough 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radcliffe Borough at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bury led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 3.00 for Bury.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Bury?

Radcliffe Borough 2-3 Bury in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Bury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 53%, draw 26%, Bury 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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