Salisbury 1-2 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.78
Over
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.22/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.10
-86% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City squeezed past Salisbury 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Salisbury at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Bath City?

Salisbury 1-2 Bath City in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 41%, draw 25%, Bath City 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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