Sittingbourne 0-3 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sittingbourne EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Sittingbourne vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway ran out comfortable winners over Sittingbourne 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sittingbourne at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Sittingbourne vs Plymouth Parkway?

Sittingbourne 0-3 Plymouth Parkway in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sittingbourne vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sittingbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sittingbourne 47%, draw 22%, Plymouth Parkway 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sittingbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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