Southport vs Curzon Ashton Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Curzon Ashton — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Curzon Ashton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-2
Southport
İCON
2-1
HT 2-0
Curzon Ashton
İCON
1-1
HT 0-1
Southport
İCON
1-3
HT 1-1
Curzon Ashton
FAK
0-0
HT 0-0
Curzon Ashton
İCON
Curzon Ashton squeezed past Southport 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Curzon Ashton made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southport and 1.83 for Curzon Ashton.
What was the final score of Southport vs Curzon Ashton?
Southport 0-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Curzon Ashton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southport 36%, draw 23%, Curzon Ashton 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.