28/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Taunton Town vs Amersham Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
22%
Draw
16%
19%
Away Win
10%
42%
Under 2.5
31%
58%
Over 2.5
69%
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
46%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taunton Town v Amersham — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Taunton Town
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Amersham
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
476 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
271 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Taunton Town vs Amersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Taunton Town edged past Amersham 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Taunton Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Amersham?
Taunton Town 2-1 Amersham in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Amersham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Taunton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 59%, draw 22%, Amersham 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taunton Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Taunton Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FAK
More England - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024