Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.23
Over Pick
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
21%
+14.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels nicked a narrow win over Walton & Hersham 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Walton & Hersham?

Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Walton & Hersham in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 46%, draw 19%, Walton & Hersham 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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