28/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Worksop Town vs Kings Lynn Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
21%
Draw
24%
40%
Away Win
34%
37%
Under 2.5
43%
63%
Over 2.5
57%
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
40%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Worksop Town v Kings Lynn Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Worksop Town
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kings Lynn Town
EU Bookmakers 38%
-50% /
-50%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
0.00/5.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.00
-100%
/
-71%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-56%
/
+43%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
336 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
362 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Worksop Town vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Worksop Town and Kings Lynn Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Kings Lynn Town?
Worksop Town 1-1 Kings Lynn Town in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Kings Lynn Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 40%, draw 21%, Kings Lynn Town 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/21/40)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FAK
More England - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024