Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Spjelkavik Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Funnefoss / Vormsund v Spjelkavik — Team-Based Signals
Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Spjelkavik Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Spjelkavik
NOR4
0-4
HT 0-2
Funnefoss / Vormsund
NOR4
Funnefoss / Vormsund squeezed past Spjelkavik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Spjelkavik at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Funnefoss / Vormsund and 1.33 for Spjelkavik.
What was the final score of Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Spjelkavik?
Funnefoss / Vormsund 1-0 Spjelkavik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Spjelkavik?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Funnefoss / Vormsund 32%, draw 21%, Spjelkavik 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.