Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Fulham
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Aston Villa
HAZPL
1-0
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa beat Fulham 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Aston Villa had 48% of the ball to Fulham's 52%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aston Villa and 0.50 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 45%, draw 26%, Fulham 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.