Pergolettese 1-2 Dolomiti Bellunesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dolomiti Bellunesi EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-2
AWAY Dolomiti Bellunesi
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dolomiti Bellunesi squeezed past Pergolettese 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pergolettese at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 47% of the ball to Dolomiti Bellunesi's 53%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?

Pergolettese 1-2 Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 46%, draw 25%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pergolettese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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