Sporting Charleroi 0-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.85
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.0
X/2
6%
7.16
X/X
17%
4.85
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
17%
5.0
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.60/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.57
-15% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
386 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.8 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 2.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
365 Passes 385
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
19.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
08.03.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
31.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-2 HT 3-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.11.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-2
AWAY Mechelen
0.59 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 239
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 8
42 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen saw off Sporting Charleroi 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 63% of the ball to Mechelen's 37%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.59 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Sporting Charleroi 0-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 44%, draw 28%, Mechelen 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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