Hobro IK 2-2 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.97
1/2
11%
23.85
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
7.09
X/2
20%
4.94
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
2.85
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.30/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.00
+12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +101%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.7 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
20.09.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
17.05.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
02.03.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-3 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
2-2
AWAY Kolding IF
2.71 xG 2.45
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
227 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK and Kolding IF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 41% of the ball to Kolding IF's 59%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.71 to 2.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hobro IK and 1.67 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Kolding IF?

Hobro IK 2-2 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 29%, draw 23%, Kolding IF 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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