Metz 0-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 28 Sep 2025

Metz
0-0 HT 0-0
Le Havre
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Metz vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.62
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.61
X/2
9%
5.96
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
10%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.77
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.0 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Metz vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
29.10.2023 Metz Metz 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
13.03.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
24.10.2022 Le Havre Le Havre 2-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
04.03.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 2-2 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
29.09.2018 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Metz 0-0 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
0-0
AWAY Le Havre
0.33 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
376 Passes 306
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metz vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz and Le Havre played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Metz had 53% of the ball to Le Havre's 47%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.33 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Metz and 1.00 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Metz vs Le Havre?

Metz 0-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Metz 39%, draw 30%, Le Havre 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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