Rennes 0-0 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 28 Sep 2025

Rennes
0-0 HT 0-0
Lens
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
11%
6.03
X/2
11%
5.86
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.56/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.53
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.1 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
408 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
21.09.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
12.05.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
20.08.2023 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
01.04.2023 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
27.08.2022 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
0-0
AWAY Lens
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
491 Passes 205
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 26
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes and Lens fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rennes had 66% of the ball to Lens's 34%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rennes and 1.17 for Lens.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Lens?

Rennes 0-0 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rennes 40%, draw 26%, Lens 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rennes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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