Rennes 1-1 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 May 2024

Rennes
1-1 HT 0-0
Lens
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Rennes vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.05
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.14
X/2
9%
6.49
X/X
9%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.24
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.68/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.54
+38% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.5 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rennes vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lens
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
424 Passes 410
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
01.04.2023 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
27.08.2022 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.01.2022 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.08.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FR1
06.02.2021 Lens Lens 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1

Rennes 1-1 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
1-1
AWAY Lens
1.90 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
474 Passes 324
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes and Lens shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rennes had 57% of the ball to Lens's 43%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rennes and 1.00 for Lens.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Lens?

Rennes 1-1 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rennes 42%, draw 29%, Lens 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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