Clermont 0-1 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 May 2024

Clermont
0-1 HT 0-0
Lyon
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Clermont vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
6.23
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
11%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.82
1/2
6%
19.35
1/X
4%
14.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
10.7
X/2
11%
4.32
X/X
8%
6.72
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.98
2/X
8%
14.1
Value flag · X/1 at 10.7 — our 12% vs market 6.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-8.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.10/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.31
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 84%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
16.2 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Clermont vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lyon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
305 Passes 482
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-2 HT 0-2 Clermont Clermont FR1
14.05.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
01.01.2023 Lyon Lyon 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
21.05.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
22.08.2021 Lyon Lyon 3-3 HT 3-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
01.03.2005 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FRK

Clermont 0-1 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-1
AWAY Lyon
1.06 xG 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
395 Passes 386
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon nicked a narrow win over Clermont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clermont had 51% of the ball to Lyon's 49%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Clermont.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Clermont and 1.33 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Lyon?

Clermont 0-1 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Clermont 32%, draw 20%, Lyon 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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